In one of Bill Simmons' podcasts recently, he remarked that although some national observers are feeling good about the Browns, he isn't--because not one Browns receiver was drafted in their fantasy draft the other day. Now, I get what he's saying--every #1 runner and catcher usually gets drafted, they get touches by default. But in the Browns' case, there's just a wide selection of targets for Colt McCoy to throw to--and it's quite possible that nobody will have "decent" fantasy numbers from the WR position this year.
That being said, I wonder how much local fans overvalue their hometown teams. I have a long history of not picking Indians or Browns for my team, from a pure value perspective. I can't justify picking up Carlos Santana five rounds too early just because I can watch him play every day.
Some people would pick hometown players precisely because of that reason. (And, to be fair, I do avoid Steelers and Ravens as much as I can.)
We had our own fantasy draft the other day. And I wanted to compare where Browns players were taken compared to other (non-Cleveland-based) leagues. Note that ours is a 12-team league that drafts 17 rounds, so it's a bit deeper in rosters than most. But still, an obvious bias was formed.
I compared them to the ESPN
Experts League, which is a 10 team league, the CBS
Experts: league, which is 12 teams but only 14 rounds, and also the ESPN online community (all the leagues that run through ESPN), which are normally only 10 teams--and so only show the top 170 players.
Really, only Peyton Hilis was a sure thing to be drafted in other leagues. Some have Colt McCoy being taken, and maybe a little bit of Montario Hardesty or Greg Little. But not much love for the Browns from NFL fans more than a hundred miles of the Forest City.
Note some of the differences--and have you seen similar patterns in your leagues?
Peyton Hillis (was a keeper in our league, but plays out as a second rounder)
Thursday, September 8, 2011
Browns players overvalued in our fantasy draft--how about yours?
--ESPN
Experts League (10 Teams): #30
– ESPN leagues: 25.2 (Third round)
Colt McCoy drafted at #91 in our league
-- ESPN
Experts league: Not drafted
– ESPN leagues:
132.5 (14th round)
Evan Moore #127
-- ESPN Experts: Not drafted
-- ESPN: Not
drafted in top 170
Greg Little #130
-- ESPN Experts: 140
-- ESPN: Not drafted
in top 170
Montario Hardesty #135
-- ESPN Experts: not drafted
– ESPN leagues:
147.1 (A lot of people question Hilis' durability I guess
And all of the below players were drafted by us homers, but not by CBS, ESPN experts, or other ESPN players generally:
Ben Watson #148
Phil Dawson #165
Browns Defense/Special Teams: #166
Armond Smith #193
Mohamed Massaquoi #203
Hell, even I played into homerism this year, so I'll be rooting for lots of defensive or Cribbs return touchdowns, and maybe Greg Little will see some PT at some point too.
About The Author : Brian
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