Wednesday, October 27, 2010

What people are guessing for the Cavs....

Well the Cavaliers take the floor tonight for the first time since the Browns beat the Saints, since the Indians season ended, and since a few other Cleveland sports happenings that I just can't seem to place right now.

While the basketball world, or more accurately, ESPN especially, gives manual pleasure to the new-look Miami Heat at every possible chance, let's look to see how the "new-look" Cavaliers might do this season, according to local and national writers who care enough to look at the team, or are contractually obligated to do so.

Below is a rundown of some predictions for the Cavaliers. They range from the comically low 12 wins projected by Kelly Dwyer on Yahoo a few weeks ago to the surprising 46 wins estimated by the PD's Terry Pluto. Most, however, seem to hover between the 30-35 win range, a season that would definitely be "torture" for Cavs fans, in the no-playoff, low-lottery position. We'll see.

Writer

Projected Record

Eastern Rank

Comments

Mary Schmitt Boyer, PD

41-41

8th

Unless an injury derails them, they will challenge for playoffs

Bill Livingston, PD

30-52

12th


Terry Pluto, PD

46-36

6th

With hustle, they will surprise

Bud Shaw, PD

35-47

9th


Jodie Valade, PD

35-47

8th


Zac Jackson, Fox Sports Net (via twitter at @FSOhioZJackson)

33-49*


Via Twitter at @FSOhioZJackson

Bill Simmons, ESPN (and Joe House)

Under 29.5 wins


Calls it one of their 5 “locks” in over/under

John Hollinger, ESPN

29-53

13th

Size is their strength, but need breaks to make playoffs. Keep eye on Ramon Sessions.

JA Adande, ESPN


15th

Says Cavs lost 13 of last 14 without LeBron

Chris Broussard, ESPN


9th

Chip on the shoulder won’t take Cavs far enough

Chad Ford, ESPN


13th

Hodgepodge collection of solid role players, will struggle to reach 30 wins

Zach Harper, Daily Dime, ESPN


13th


Tim Legler, ESPN


11th

Not good defensively

Chris Sheridan, ESPN

21-61

14th

And will struggle to reach 21 wins.

Marc Stein, ESPN


12th

30.5 a good over/under, won’t be surprised to see them do better than expected.

Michael Wallace, ESPN


11th


Brian Windhorst, ESPN


11th

Could be fringe playoff team, or sink all the way to the bottom.

Kelly Dwyer, Yahoo

12-70 (predicted three months ago)

15th

But admits he could be terribly, terribly wrong because the Cavalier are a professional team.

Dan Vachalek, Sports Nickel



Last in central. Nothing the Cavs have done will replace LeBron.

David Snipes, Sports Nickel

15-67

15th

Cavs aren’t smart enough to make the smart trades to rebuild this year. Nothing they have fit. “Crap parts, crap team.”

Britt Robson, SI



Last in Central, needs 23 wins to avoid single season win decline record.

Tyler Conway, Bleacher Report

28-54

12th

Predicts that the Cavs “magically” land the #1 pick

Charley Rosen, Fox Sports

35-47


35 wins would be a huge accomplishment.

Kevin Pelton, Basketball Prospectus

Surprising playoff team


Statistical analysis shows that Cleveland would have won about 34 games last year even if all of LBJ’s minutes went to an average replacement (and Jamario Moon is better than that.)

Random Scout on ESPN

32-50 to 36-46